Sports Betting Tips

Trend Betting - How Big is Your Database?

While most people would think that picking an angle to use when betting on a game, the main focus is recent performance and other motivating factors such as playoff implications, etc. However, there is definitely some truth to the expression "history repeats itself", and the world of sports is no different. Some of the world's top handicappers are students of the trend betting technique--Marc Lawrence for example--but keep in mind: these guys have built up extensive statistical databases over many years and have easy access to the kind of information that it would take the average sport better countless hours to compile. In this column I will offer you some tips to keep in mind when thinking about betting trends.

Not to be Confused With Streaks

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Trends--at least in my opinion--are instances that occur repeatedly over a long period of time. If the team with home court advantage has won their first round NBA Playoff series 70% of the time over the past 25 years, then I would consider that a trend. If the Lakers have covered the point spread 9 out of their last 10 games, then I would consider that a streak. I don't posses the kind of mathematical mind that is required to effectively express the differences in both situations, but suffice to say that if something happens over and over again, over the course of many years, then chances are it will happen again.

Not For Everyone

I've always been kind of on the fence on this subject. On the one hand, numbers don't lie and some of the trends that I've read about over the years are too strong to ignore. On the other hand, how can a person log onto their sport book account and bet their money on the outcome of a game based purely on what has happened in the past, ignoring current performance. The answer, I suppose, is finding a good middle ground. I'm always preaching the importance of research here at sportbooksreview, and today is no different. If you've done your homework and have identified an angle that you like, and it also happens to be backed up by some solid trending data, then chances are you have found yourself an advantage.

The main problem with finding good trends is that access to the type of statistical information required is not easily put together. Sure, you can find just about anything on the Internet, but to find it all in one place in a neat package is next to impossible. You could subscribe to a Marc Lawrence type of capper and follow his advice, however then you're basically in a purchasing picks scenario and have removed yourself from the process. Everyone is different, so do what you feel is right for you.

Check out more of our sports betting tips articles to become a smarter sports better. Knowledge is power, folks.  Best of luck, and please gamble responsibly!

--ajec

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